2020 Predictions Review

 

Here it goes....

Claims from last year are in purple.

Towers of Ilium got a late start to the predictions for this year, which means that events in Iran are only dealt with in a superficial way. Editorial staff doesn't anticipate more major surprises, just a slow burn.

-Iran wasn't significant in terms of news. As for major surprises, well, there's THAT.

-Trump survives through the year---there will not be enough, if any, Senate vote defections to remove him from office. This is an easy prediction, but this blog needs to have at least one success.

-Correct--and easy.

-Trump will not be elected for a second term. 

-Correct--but closer than it should have been given the circumstances.

-Biden will be the next president of the United States.

-Correct, despite the Trump and Republican idiocy following the election. (still ongoing)

-Ruth Bader Ginsburg will die and Trump will get one final pick for the Supreme Court.

-Correct. Although Barret, like Gorsuch and Kavanaugh, have no interest in carrying water for Trump in a personal way.

-Republicans will retain control of the Senate

-TBD by Georgia elections, but Towers of Ilium stands by this claim.

-Democrats will retain control of the House

-Correct--but GOP picked up some seats.

-A major weather event will impact the east coast of the U.S.---prior to the presidential election. Federal response to this event will be incompetent and hurt Trump, but not significantly.

-Correct several times, but overshadowed by Covid.

-Attempts to make local zoning regulations more sensible will persist on multiple fronts across the Unite States this year. There will be some minor advances.

-Uncertain, and not particularly relevant.

-Architecture will be boring.

-Correct, mostly. 

-"Construction Technology" is a dead end.

-Correct--overshadowed by Covid, but online meetings have significant limitations.

-The Dow will close above 35,000 by year end.

-Nope, but above 30,000---which means almost nothing.

-There will not be a recession. Growth in the U.S. will average 2%

-Nope, but contingent on Covid.