ruminations about architecture and design

Thursday, April 30, 2020

we should have died hereafter


For all intents and purposes, the month of May will mark the end of a coordinated response to the Covid-19 pandemic in the United States. A political calculus has been made by the Trump administration that an elevated death toll that persists through the rest of the year is economically and morally acceptable. There will be a concentrated push for a return to "business as normal."

This will not work as planned for the following reasons:

-Varying degrees of social distancing will persist among the general population regardless of what business leaders and politicians hope for. Economic disruption for leisure service businesses will continue to be severe.
-Strain on healthcare services will be considerable and elective procedures and preventive medical services will be curtailed for several months.
-Disruptions in supply chains--particularly food production--will be constant because of concentrated outbreaks in plants, worker uprisings, and legal action.
-The rest of the world won't support the U.S.




Wednesday, April 29, 2020

even the four horseman are practicing social distancing


Some Americans are in the process of discovering that you cannot eat money.

As of this blog post, official U.S. Covid-19 deaths have passed Vietnam.

Meat shortages will prevail across the country for the next several months.

We can hope that this relatively useless piece of media will persist in some server farm for a few more years.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

the road behind


The Covid-19 pandemic will hopefully cause a re-assessment of what is truly important. Towers of Ilium will refer to this, with optimism, as the Maslow Revolution. The modern state depends on the following critical activities and systems, roughly in order of importance:

-Industrial food production systems
-Transportation networks---primarily for food
-Fuel systems, including the electric grid
-Shelter (more on this later)
-Trash removal and other sanitation infrastructure
-Electronic communication networks
-Public education systems*
-Emergency Healthcare

Under normal circumstances, what percentage of the economy do all of those add up to?

With respect to the current recession and the ongoing impacts of the pandemic, what economic sectors are going to be well and truly fucked for the next several months or years? Here's a short list:

-Personal air travel--particularly for leisure, and also for business
-Dine-in Restaurants
-Hotels and other temporary lodgings---and nearly all support systems
-Elective healthcare---even if it's very important for survival
-Discretionary energy use associated with all of the above
-Architecture










Thursday, April 9, 2020

and through darkness


The death peak for Massachusetts is predicted over the next two weeks. Stress on hospitals will build over the next few days and persist for 3 to 5 weeks.

How will architecture be different after this?