ruminations about architecture and design

Friday, November 30, 2012

more predictions by towers of ilium

Here are some trends in architecture and real estate that I want to talk about:

1. The housing bubble in Toronto will pop. Will it happen quickly or slowly?

2. The new energy code will feature incremental improvements.

3. Triple glazed windows are inevitable

4. Spray foam insulation will continue to improve and costs will continue to decline.

5. Non-ferrous reinforcing in concrete will expand in use. This will be a big, slow trend over the next 50 years.

6. We will have another real estate bubble, probably global, in 2020ish.

7. The loss of labor in architecture firms as a result of the recession will not impact productivity. The software is just too darn good. Direct service to clients will be more common.

8. Construction delivery methods will not experience significant productivity gains over the next several decades--if ever. Building complexity will only increase. Data and power distribution systems will get marginally more efficient, but will be offset by improvements to environmental control systems.

Only a few people who read this blog will understand what I am talking about. More pictures next month.

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