ruminations about architecture and design

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

the world will start to end again next year

At least according to Gail Tverberg. She predicts that energy production will peak next year and then begin a rapid decline that will be accompanied by complete social and economic breakdown across the world. Although towers of ilium cannot claim to be as smart as she is, I doubt that things will play out in the neat fashion that her graph shows. Tverberg is demonstrating a peculiar myopia about the nature of energy resources--they're still too cheap, plentiful, and diversified to play a major role in Armageddon. Although I believe we're seeing a drop-off in fossil fuel production and use right now, market slack will be filled by an increasing share of renewables and nuclear.

I hope so. I don't own a shotgun and am not fond of canned food.

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